Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 241252
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022
Valid 241300Z - 251200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into
southern Louisiana today into tonight.
...Texas/Louisiana...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible today into tonight from
coastal southeast Texas into southern Louisiana. A positive-tilt
southern-stream trough over northern Mexico/west Texas early today
will take on a more neutral tilt as it deamplifies over east Texas
and Louisiana tonight. A weak surface wave is expected to develop
just off the Texas coast today and progress east-northeastward
offshore toward southern Louisiana, with the warm sector and
surface-based buoyancy expected to remain offshore. With the
approach of the upper trough, thermodynamic profiles will become
marginally supportive of isolated elevated thunderstorms over inland
areas, with thunderstorms expected to be maximized over the open
waters of the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and especially tonight.
..Guyer/Broyles.. 01/24/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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