Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 250030
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 PM CST Mon Jan 24 2022
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into
southwest Louisiana through tonight.
...01z Update...
Low-level warm advection has been the primary instigator in elevated
convection north of the warm front across southeast TX into LA,
despite the lack of meaningful lightning. As LLJ shifts downstream,
much of the region currently depicted by low thunderstorm
probabilities will become less favorable for deep convection capable
of penetrating levels necessary for lightning discharge. Even so,
until the short-wave trough moves east of the Sabine River, there is
an outside chance for a few lightning flashes with more sustained
elevated updrafts.
..Darrow.. 01/25/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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