Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 251950
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CST Tue Jan 25 2022
Valid 252000Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are expected across portions of central
and southern Florida tonight/early Wednesday.
...Discussion...
No change was made to the previous convective outlook.
..Smith.. 01/25/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1012 AM CST Tue Jan 25 2022/
...FL overnight...
A weakening midlevel shortwave trough will move eastward along the
northern Gulf coast to north FL/south GA overnight. An associated
surface cyclone will likewise tend to weaken later today into
tonight as the shortwave trough moves away from the surface warm
sector. There will be some moistening/destabilization above the
surface across parts of south/central FL tonight as the modifying
warm sector develops northward to the east of the weakening cyclone.
As such, a few elevated thunderstorms will be possible from about
06-12z. The surface-based convection across the eastern Gulf could
approach the western Keys tonight.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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