Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 260040
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Tue Jan 25 2022
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are expected across portions of central
and southern Florida tonight.
...South Florida...
Low-amplitude short-wave trough is ejecting across AL/northern Gulf
Basin toward the southeast Atlantic Coast. Surface low along the
southern influence of this feature is forecast to drift southeast
toward the FL Straits and weaken as large-scale forcing spreads well
northeast of this region. As a result, low-level warm advection will
remain the primary mechanism for scattered elevated convection
across the southern Peninsula, although most thunderstorms are
currently focused along the cold front over the southeast Basin. LLJ
is forecast to remain focused across south FL and this will
contribute to deeper updrafts capable of producing lightning.
..Darrow.. 01/26/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z