Jan 27, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 27 13:00:51 UTC 2022 (20220127 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220127 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220127 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220127 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220127 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220127 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 271300

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0700 AM CST Thu Jan 27 2022

   Valid 271300Z - 281200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm potential is low across the U.S. today and tonight.

   ...Synopsis/Discussion...
   The prevalence of cool/cold temperatures and stable conditions via
   continental trajectories will result in an essentially nil
   thunderstorm potential across the CONUS today and tonight. The only
   potential, albeit low, for thunderstorms is near the east-central
   coast of Florida and moreso the nearby Atlantic waters near a weak
   surface wave and residual front. Marginally supportive thermodynamic
   conditions could support some lightning flashes.

   ..Guyer/Bentley.. 01/27/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z