Jan 27, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 27 16:21:46 UTC 2022 (20220127 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220127 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220127 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220127 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220127 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220127 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 271621

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1021 AM CST Thu Jan 27 2022

   Valid 271630Z - 281200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   Cold and/or dry conditions cover the majority of the CONUS, as part
   of the ridging aloft near the Pacific coast and broad downstream
   troughing from the northern Plains to the Great Lakes.  A
   slow-moving cold front has drifted into the FL Straits and just off
   the southeast FL coast, though typical air mass modification over
   the Gulf Stream will support mostly shallow convection in a
   confluence zone that could approach the east central FL coast. 
   Isolated lightning flashes will be possible offshore, but the
   overall thunderstorm threat inland appears minimal.

   ..Thompson.. 01/27/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z