Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 271925
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 PM CST Thu Jan 27 2022
Valid 272000Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through tonight.
...Discussion...
No change was made to the previous convective outlook.
..Smith.. 01/27/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 27 2022/
...Synopsis...
Cold and/or dry conditions cover the majority of the CONUS, as part
of the ridging aloft near the Pacific coast and broad downstream
troughing from the northern Plains to the Great Lakes. A
slow-moving cold front has drifted into the FL Straits and just off
the southeast FL coast, though typical air mass modification over
the Gulf Stream will support mostly shallow convection in a
confluence zone that could approach the east central FL coast.
Isolated lightning flashes will be possible offshore, but the
overall thunderstorm threat inland appears minimal.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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