Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280042
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Thu Jan 27 2022
Valid 280100Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
tonight.
...01Z Outlook Update...
...Florida...
Boundary-layer moistening and low-level forcing for ascent near a
weak frontal wave/developing area of low pressure offshore of the
Space Coast has provided support for a developing area of showers.
However, (relatively) warm layers aloft likely are inhibiting deeper
convection capable of producing lightning. This may remain the
case, even in the offshore waters, with substantive further
strengthening of the frontal wave unlikely through at least 12Z
Friday.
..Kerr.. 01/28/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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