Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 282017
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0217 PM CST Fri Jan 28 2022
Valid 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
A few thunderstorms have occurred over the Gulf Stream, well
offshore of the East Coast. The threat should remain offshore
through the period.
..Bentley.. 01/28/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Fri Jan 28 2022/
A deep upper trough will amplify and become negatively tilted
tonight over the eastern states, resulting in rapid cyclogenesis off
the Atlantic coast. While thunderstorms will be possible offshore
tonight, organized deep convection is not anticipated over land
areas.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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