Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290037
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CST Fri Jan 28 2022
Valid 290100Z - 291200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. through tonight.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough over the OH Valley/Southeast will move to the
eastern states by daybreak Saturday as a coupled upper-level jet
structure evolves over the western Atlantic. In the low levels, a
surface low undergoing bombogenesis will move from well east of the
Carolinas north-northeastward and well offshore the NJ coast by
Saturday morning. Aside from precipitation associated with the
Nor'easter, cool/stable conditions will prevail over much of the
remainder of the Lower 48.
..Smith.. 01/29/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z