Jan 29, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 29 00:37:42 UTC 2022 (20220129 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220129 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220129 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220129 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220129 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220129 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 290037

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0637 PM CST Fri Jan 28 2022

   Valid 290100Z - 291200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. through tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough over the OH Valley/Southeast will move to the
   eastern states by daybreak Saturday as a coupled upper-level jet
   structure evolves over the western Atlantic.  In the low levels, a
   surface low undergoing bombogenesis will move from well east of the
   Carolinas north-northeastward and well offshore the NJ coast by
   Saturday morning.  Aside from precipitation associated with the
   Nor'easter, cool/stable conditions will prevail over much of the
   remainder of the Lower 48.

   ..Smith.. 01/29/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z