Jan 29, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 29 19:45:50 UTC 2022 (20220129 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220129 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220129 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220129 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220129 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220129 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 291945

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 PM CST Sat Jan 29 2022

   Valid 292000Z - 301200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm areas are not forecast today over the contiguous U.S.

   ...Synopsis...
   The only lightning observed today is well offshore the East Coast in
   close proximity to the rapidly deepening surface low. This surface
   low has started to move quickly northeast and will remain far
   offshore with minimal threat for lightning over land.

   ..Bentley.. 01/29/2022

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 AM CST Sat Jan 29 2022/

   Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms
   over the CONUS during this forecast period.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z