Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 300424
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1024 PM CST Sat Jan 29 2022
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.
...Synopsis...
A progressive upper-air pattern will persist across the central and
northern CONUS today, with multiple mid-level troughs progressing
eastward from the Pacific to Atlantic Seaboards, contributing to the
reinforcement of cool, stable air and associated negligible threat
for thunderstorm development. A few thunderstorms may develop in
advance of the East-Coast mid-level trough, but these storms are
expected to develop just east of the North Carolina Coastal waters
after dark.
A mid-level open wave will progress across the south-central U.S.
while morphing into a closed low. In the 00-12Z period, relatively
cooler mid-level temperatures associated with the passing closed
mid-level flow will promote elevated (albeit weak) buoyancy across
southern Texas. A few thunderstorms may develop during the second
half of the period.
..Squitieri.. 01/30/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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