Jan 30, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 30 19:53:28 UTC 2022 (20220130 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220130 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220130 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220130 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220130 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220130 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 301953

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0153 PM CST Sun Jan 30 2022

   Valid 302000Z - 311200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

   The previous outlook remains on track and no adjustments were
   necessary.

   ..Bentley.. 01/30/2022

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST Sun Jan 30 2022/

   An upper low over AZ will track eastward into TX this evening. 
   Strengthening southerly low-level winds over western and central TX
   are expected to lead to the development of showers and a few
   thunderstorms - mainly after 00z.  CAPE values are weak and
   low-level moisture is quite limited, precluding a risk of severe
   storms.  Convection will likely spread as far east as the middle TX
   gulf coast by Monday morning.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z