Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 310042
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Sun Jan 30 2022
Valid 310100Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...Synopsis...
Cool and stable conditions are expected to persist across most of
the CONUS up to 12Z Monday. However, a closed 500 mb low over New
Mexico is poised to traverse western Texas through the remainder of
the evening, introducing adequate elevated buoyancy and lift for a
few thunderstorms. Isolated thunderstorms are also still expected to
develop over adjacent coastal waters east of the North Carolina
shoreline ahead of a mid-level trough axis.
..Squitieri.. 01/31/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z