Corpus Christi, TX...Victoria, TX...Portland, TX...Robstown, TX...Port Lavaca, TX...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
7,352
555,075
Corpus Christi, TX...Victoria, TX...Portland, TX...Robstown, TX...Port Lavaca, TX...
SPC AC 010100
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST...
...SUMMARY...
An isolated threat for marginally severe hail is possible this
evening over the middle Texas Coast.
...Middle TX Coast...
Water-vapor imagery shows a compact mid-level low/trough moving east
over south-central TX and towards the Gulf early this evening. A
small area of weak to locally moderate buoyancy is confined near the
middle TX coast per the 00z Corpus Christi raob (1300 J/kg MLCAPE).
Large-scale ascent associated mid-level disturbance is maximized
early this evening and will at least support the notion for a
stronger thunderstorm or two given the buoyancy/shear profile.
Otherwise, showers and elevated thunderstorms will persist further
up the coast towards Galveston Bay this evening.
..Smith.. 02/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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