Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 011946
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0146 PM CST Tue Feb 01 2022
Valid 012000Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely over the contiguous United
States through tonight.
...20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.
..Gleason.. 02/01/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Tue Feb 01 2022/
...LA...
Morning water vapor imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough
moving slowly eastward across the northwest Gulf of Mexico.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms have been occurring ahead of
this system offshore of the LA coast. There remains a low
probability of a few lightning flashes near the immediate coast this
afternoon, but the bulk of the deep convection is expected to remain
offshore. This potential will wane after 00z.
Elsewhere, dry and stable conditions are expected to prelude
organized thunderstorms today and tonight.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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