Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020035
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0635 PM CST Tue Feb 01 2022
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
...01z Update...
Weak, southern-stream short-wave trough is progressing east across
the central Gulf Basin early this evening. This feature appears to
be partly responsible for earlier lightning activity along the
northern extent of warm advection convection that extended across
the northern Gulf toward the LA Gulf Coast. While low-level warm
advection, and associated weak convective clusters, continue; 00z
soundings from this region suggest the probability of lightning is
decreasing. Both LIX and LCH exhibit poor lapse rates above 3km and
subsidence is expected post short wave. Although showers will linger
near the MS Delta the prospect for lightning is low.
..Darrow.. 02/02/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z