St. Marys, GA...Brunswick, GA...Wilmington Island, GA...St. Simons, GA...Kingsland, GA...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
3,935
460,908
St. Marys, GA...Brunswick, GA...Wilmington Island, GA...St. Simons, GA...Kingsland, GA...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 040510
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 PM CST Thu Feb 03 2022
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
An isolated threat for a strong thunderstorm is possible over
southeast Georgia this afternoon.
...Southeast...
A cold front will move east through the Carolinas/GA and north FL in
association with an eastward-migrating, large-scale mid-level
trough. The modifying airmass ahead of the front will become weakly
unstable during the day across north FL northward into the coastal
plain of the Carolinas. Modest low-level moisture will reside from
the Big Bend of FL northeast into southeast GA where lower-mid 60s
dewpoints will be common. However, relatively poor mid-level lapse
rates are depicted in forecast soundings and will temper storm
intensity despite strong mid- to high-level southwesterly flow. It
is possible a strong storm or two could develop over southeast
coastal GA during the afternoon before the front pushes east of the
coast by early evening. An isolated damaging gust would be the
hazard.
..Smith/Moore.. 02/04/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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