Feb 5, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 5 00:41:04 UTC 2022 (20220205 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220205 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220205 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220205 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220205 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220205 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050041

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0641 PM CST Fri Feb 04 2022

   Valid 050100Z - 051200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough over the Great Lakes will move east to the
   Northeast/Mid-Atlantic states by early Saturday morning.  A cold
   front will continue to sag southeast across the eastern Gulf of
   Mexico and the coastal Southeast.  A stray thunderstorm or two is
   possible over north FL this evening and perhaps near the Outer Banks
   late tonight in a weakly unstable airmass.  However, thunderstorm
   coverage will likely remain below 10-percent CONUS-wide through
   tonight.

   ..Smith.. 02/05/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z