Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 061952
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 PM CST Sun Feb 06 2022
Valid 062000Z - 071200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.
..Gleason.. 02/06/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Sun Feb 06 2022/
...Synopsis/Discussion...
An amplified large-scale pattern will remain over the CONUS with a
general prevalence of positive-tilt troughing east of the Rockies
with an upper ridge centered over California and the nearby
Southwest. Cool/cold temperatures and continental trajectories will
considerably limit deep convection and thunderstorm potential across
the CONUS. Some thunderstorms will remain a possibility offshore of
the South Atlantic Coast in vicinity of the Gulf Stream, potentially
spanning the offshore Atlantic waters east of Florida to the
Carolinas through tonight.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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