Feb 7, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 7 04:49:00 UTC 2022 (20220207 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220207 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220207 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220207 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220207 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220207 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070449

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1049 PM CST Sun Feb 06 2022

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely across the contiguous United States
   today.

   ...Synopsis...
   An elongated, positive-tilt upper trough will extend from the upper
   Great Lakes to Texas during the day, and will pivot east toward the
   Appalachians by 12Z Tue with tail end extending into the northern
   Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, a surface ridge will remain over the
   Rockies, with cool air pushing farther south across the Gulf Coast
   States. The resulting offshore flow will maintain stable conditions
   across this region. Although a band of midlevel moisture and lift
   may affect parts of Florida overnight, forecast soundings indicate
   little to no elevated CAPE to support lightning.

   ..Jewell.. 02/07/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z