Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 071220
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0620 AM CST Mon Feb 07 2022
Valid 071300Z - 081200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely across the contiguous United States
today.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
In mid/upper levels, a slowly progressive, high-amplitude,
positively tilted trough will extend from the upper Great Lakes to
northern MX through the period. Heights will rise over much of the
Pacific Coast as a strong shortwave trough digs southeastward across
the northern Rockies and northern Plains. A broad fetch of
southwest flow aloft will cover much of the Atlantic Coast and FL.
Continental/polar boundary-layer air will cover the CONUS east of
the Rockies, in the wake of prior frontal passages. The overland
air mass will be too dry and/or stable for deep moist convection,
though isolated thunderstorms will be possible offshore from the
Carolinas today, along and southeast of a frontal zone accompanying
a northeastward-moving surface low.
..Edwards.. 02/07/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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