Feb 8, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 8 05:34:20 UTC 2022 (20220208 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220208 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220208 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220208 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220208 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220208 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080534

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1134 PM CST Mon Feb 07 2022

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous Unites States
   today.

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad upper troughing will prevail across the central and eastern
   CONUS as a 1000 mb surface low tracks just north of the Great Lakes,
   and surface lee troughing becomes established across the
   Plains/Mississippi Valley. Surface high pressure will also dominate
   the Interior West, with cooler temperatures ushering in to the
   central CONUS. Surface high pressure is poised to develop across the
   Southeast and northerly trajectories across the Gulf of Mexico will
   steer moisture away from the mainland. A stable low-level airmass
   will overspread the entire CONUS, with little in the way of
   thunderstorm development expected.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/08/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z