Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 081246
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0646 AM CST Tue Feb 08 2022
Valid 081300Z - 091200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous Unites States
today.
...Southeast FL/Keys through tonight...
A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the Gulf of
Mexico to north FL overnight, while a quasi-stationary front
persists just off the southeast FL coast and near/just south of the
Keys. The stronger/deeper buoyancy will remain confined to the
southeast Gulf of Mexico, and the threat for thunderstorms should
remain a little west of the Keys. Shallow convection will also
occur near or just off the southeast FL coast, but buoyancy profiles
appear to be too shallow/warm to support any appreciable threat for
lightning.
..Thompson.. 02/08/2022
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