Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 081958
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Feb 08 2022
Valid 082000Z - 091200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous Unites States
through tonight.
...Synopsis...
Intermittent thunderstorms have been ongoing west of the Florida
Keys this afternoon. This activity is expected to weaken with
eastward extent and any remaining thunderstorms are expected to
remain south of the Keys. Some showers have developed across south
Florida, but warm mid-level temperatures and weak lapse rates are
limiting updraft strength/depth. Therefore, no lightning is
anticipated from these showers this afternoon/evening.
..Bentley.. 02/08/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Tue Feb 08 2022/
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A southern-stream shortwave trough will continue eastward over the
Gulf of Mexico and coastal Southeast States through tonight. A few
thunderstorms are occurring today over the eastern Gulf of Mexico
near a quasi-stationary front, where occasional thunderstorms will
remain a possibility into tonight. It is likely that these storms
will tend to remain just west/south of the Florida Keys.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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