Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 090512
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 PM CST Tue Feb 08 2022
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. today
through tonight.
...Synopsis...
Broad cyclonic upper flow will prevail across the central and
eastern U.S, with embedded mid-level impulses traversing the Eastern
Seaboard and Midwest through the day today. Broad surface troughing
will envelop the eastern third of the CONUS as a 998 mb surface
cyclone tracks eastward north of the Great Lakes. The low-level
airmass ahead of the trough is expected to be dry and stable. A
surface cold front drifting south of the Florida Keys/southern
Peninsula will also shunt moisture away from the region, ushering in
dry and stable low-level air. Ahead of both the Midwest surface
trough and the cold front across extreme southern Florida, a
lightning flash cannot be completely ruled out with any convection
that can develop and obtain depth. However, buoyancy is expected to
be very limited, with thunderstorms not expected.
..Squitieri.. 02/09/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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