Feb 10, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 10 05:41:35 UTC 2022 (20220210 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220210 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220210 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220210 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220210 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220210 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100541

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1141 PM CST Wed Feb 09 2022

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
   today.

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad northwesterly upper flow regime will dominate the CONUS
   today as a 992 mb surface cyclone surges across the northern Plains
   and impinges on the Great lakes. A surface high across the southeast
   will promote northerly low-level flow, cutting off any moisture
   return from the Gulf of Mexico. The positive tilt of the low and
   mid-level troughs will support deep-layer west-northwesterly flow
   across the CONUS, which is poised to be overspread by a stable
   airmass. Widespread stability should limit thunderstorm potential
   enough to warrant the withholding of introducing general
   thunderstorm areas.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/10/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z