Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 100541
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CST Wed Feb 09 2022
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
today.
...Synopsis...
A broad northwesterly upper flow regime will dominate the CONUS
today as a 992 mb surface cyclone surges across the northern Plains
and impinges on the Great lakes. A surface high across the southeast
will promote northerly low-level flow, cutting off any moisture
return from the Gulf of Mexico. The positive tilt of the low and
mid-level troughs will support deep-layer west-northwesterly flow
across the CONUS, which is poised to be overspread by a stable
airmass. Widespread stability should limit thunderstorm potential
enough to warrant the withholding of introducing general
thunderstorm areas.
..Squitieri.. 02/10/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z