Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 101930
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0130 PM CST Thu Feb 10 2022
Valid 102000Z - 111200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
through tonight.
...20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.
..Gleason.. 02/10/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Thu Feb 10 2022/
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A highly amplified large-scale pattern with longwave troughing east
of the Rockies, in conjunction with limited moisture and continental
trajectories, will result in negligible thunderstorm potential
across the CONUS today and tonight. Some shallow convection is
expected this afternoon and early evening across eastern New York
into New England near an eastward-moving front. However, it is
generally not expected to reach sufficient depth/favorable
temperatures for lightning generation.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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