Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 111620
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 AM CST Fri Feb 11 2022
Valid 111630Z - 121200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in the early morning
tomorrow across east and southeast Texas.
...East and southeast TX...
Weak low-level warm advection and ascent will occur downstream of a
mid-level shortwave trough digging south from the northern to the
southern High Plains. Sufficient moistening from 900-800 mb should
support an expanding plume of weak elevated buoyancy from the TX
Gulf Coast across a large portion of south to east TX. On the
northern periphery of this buoyancy plume, scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms may develop towards 12Z across parts of east
to southeast TX.
..Grams/Squitieri.. 02/11/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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