Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 131223
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 AM CST Sun Feb 13 2022
Valid 131300Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast Florida this
morning.
...Synopsis...
Along the southern periphery of a deep midlevel trough over the
upper Great Lakes, and embedded speed max will translate eastward
along the northern Gulf coast to north FL by this afternoon. At the
surface, a cold front will move slowly southeastward and off the
southeast FL coast/upper Keys later this morning. There will be a
threat for a few thunderstorms through mid-late morning, and perhaps
a semi-organized/strong storm across the upper Keys through about
14-15z. The threat for thunderstorms is expected to end by midday
as the low levels dry from the northwest with frontal passage.
Otherwise, thunderstorms are not expected across the remainder of
the CONUS as a result of cool and/or dry profiles with the upper
ridge west/trough east pattern.
..Thompson.. 02/13/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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