Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 131942
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Sun Feb 13 2022
Valid 132000Z - 141200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...20z Update...
Thunderstorm activity is not expected across the CONUS the remainder
of the forecast period. No changes are needed with the 20z update.
..Leitman.. 02/13/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST Sun Feb 13 2022/
...Discussion...
A broken convective band over the FL Straits will continue to push
east-southeast away from south FL as a surface cold front moves
towards the Bahamas. Otherwise, persistence of an upper ridge west
and trough east will maintain a quiescent pattern for any thunder
potential across the CONUS.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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