Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 140520
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CST Sun Feb 13 2022
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms across possible across the Pacific Northwest
region later Monday.
...Pacific Northwest Region...
00z model guidance suggests a strong upper low off the Pacific
Northwest Coast will move inland early in the period before digging
into the northern Great Basin by sunrise Tuesday. Very cold
mid-level temperatures are noted with this feature with 500mb
temperatures between minus 30-34C at 500mb north of the jet.
Pronounced exit region of this jet should encourage UVV/moistening
such that weak buoyancy will likely develop within a
steepening/cooling profile. Forecast soundings from OR into
northwestern NV exhibit weak instability that should be adequate for
scattered convection with this feature. Strongest updrafts may
generate a few flashes of lightning, and for these reasons a low
probability for thunderstorms has been introduced.
..Darrow/Moore.. 02/14/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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