Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 141227
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 AM CST Mon Feb 14 2022
Valid 141300Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms possible across the Pacific Northwest region
later today into tonight.
...Synopsis...
A midlevel shortwave trough just west of Vancouver Island this
morning will dig south-southeastward over OR to northeastern
CA/northern NV by Tuesday morning. Steepening low-midlevel lapse
rates with the approach of the midlevel cold pool (colder than -30 C
at 500 mb) will support weak buoyancy and the potential for isolated
lightning flashes with low-topped convection in the zone of ascent
immediately preceding the midlevel trough. Otherwise, the CONUS
will be dominated by cool and/or dry air in the low levels, which
will preclude thunderstorms.
..Thompson.. 02/14/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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