Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 181941
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0141 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022
Valid 182000Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms remain Florida.
...Discussion...
Showers and a few thunderstorms are ongoing across northern portions
of the Florida Peninsula at this time, near the slowly advancing
cold front. Modest CAPE south of the front however, in tandem with
rather weak/veered flow aloft suggest that severe weather is
unlikely.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not anticipated.
..Goss.. 02/18/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0957 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022/
As a strong cold front continues to push southeastward, a few
thunderstorms will be possible from north FL into the offshore
waters along the Carolina coast. No severe storms are anticipated
today.
Elsewhere across the nation, relatively dry and stable conditions
will preclude thunderstorms today.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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