Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 190520
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
on Saturday and Saturday night.
...Discussion...
Eastern US trough will ensure higher PW/instability remains shunted
off the Atlantic Coast/FL Peninsula through the day1 period. While
weak buoyancy may be noted across the southern FL Peninsula,
low-level convergence will focus south/east of FL.
Elsewhere, weak buoyancy will develop across the northern Rockies
late in the period but cold profiles will likely negate any
meaningful threat for lightning.
..Darrow/Lyons.. 02/19/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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