Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 191557
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0957 AM CST Sat Feb 19 2022
Valid 191630Z - 201200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible this afternoon along the
coast of southeast Florida.
...FL...
A surface cold front extends across central FL today, and will push
southward and offshore after dark. Convergence along the boundary
is weak, and surface winds ahead of the front have veered to
northwesterly. Nevertheless, ample low-level moisture is present in
the pre-frontal air mass, with pockets of daytime heating expected.
This may result in an isolated thunderstorm or two along the
immediate coastline in vicinity of Miami. This threat should
diminish by early evening as the front moves through and diurnal
cooling commences.
Elsewhere, very isolated lightning flashes will be possible today
along a band of shallow convective snow squalls moving through
NY/PA. This threat will remain below 10% coverage.
..Hart.. 02/19/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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