Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 231627
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1027 AM CST Wed Feb 23 2022
Valid 231630Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
...OK/TX into the TN Valley...
A zone of relatively strong low-level warm/moist advection has
resulted in a large plume of winter precipitation (including
scattered thunderstorms) over parts of central/eastern OK and
western AR. This activity will persist through the forecast period
and develop eastward toward the TN Valley. Refer to MCD #177/#178
for further short-term details.
...Southwest States...
Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough rotating across
southern CA. Lift ahead of this system, coupled with weak diurnal
heating, may result in scattered showers and isolated lightning
flashes this afternoon and evening from southern CA into central AZ
and the Four-Corners vicinity.
..Hart/Squitieri.. 02/23/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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