Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 250042
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Thu Feb 24 2022
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are possible tonight from Louisiana northward into the
Mid South and Ohio Valley regions.
Scattered shallow convection has developed along a cold front across
central Mississippi. Expect convection to remain shallow into the
overnight period and eventually be undercut by the cold front.
Therefore, the severe weather threat remains minimal.
Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible in a region of weak
elevated instability through the Tennessee and Ohio Valley regions.
..Bentley.. 02/25/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z