Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 251246
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0646 AM CST Fri Feb 25 2022
Valid 251300Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
today or tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A deamplifying shortwave trough will continue east-northeastward
over the Northeast States and New England, with a cold front
advancing east-southeastward across the coastal Southeast States. A
few lightning flashes have been noted in the predawn hours
near/behind this front. However, weakening low-level convergence and
increasingly marginal thermodynamic profiles suggest that the
potential for thunderstorms into the Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic region
will likely remain below 10 percent. Dry/stable conditions will
otherwise preclude thunderstorms across the remainder of the CONUS.
..Guyer.. 02/25/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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