Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 251557
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0957 AM CST Fri Feb 25 2022
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
through tonight.
...Synopsis...
A surface cold front will continue to move slowly southeastward
across AL/GA/Carolinas, in the wake of a midlevel trough moving
across the Mid Atlantic/New England today. Weak elevated convection
and isolated lightning strikes have been observed this morning from
the southern Appalachians into AL, though the trend has been for
this convection to slowly diminish since 15z. Given only marginal
buoyancy rooted in the 850-700 mb layer (per the 12z BMX sounding)
and weakening forcing for ascent through the day, the prospects for
additional thunderstorms beyond 1630z from AL/GA into the Carolinas
appear too limited to warrant the addition of an outlook area.
..Thompson/Moore.. 02/25/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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