Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 260542
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 PM CST Fri Feb 25 2022
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the continental United States
on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
Expansive high pressure and a dry, continental-polar airmass will
limit thunderstorm potential across the CONUS on Saturday and
Saturday Night. Weak elevated instability may permit an isolated
lightning flash or two across southern Arkansas/northern Louisiana,
but the weak instability and only marginally cold equilibrium levels
should preclude any greater threat.
Isolated thunderstorm activity may occur off the Oregon/Washington
Coast as a mid-level trough moves through the region and
temperatures cool aloft. However, the greatest thunderstorm threat
is expected to remain offshore.
..Bentley/Weinman.. 02/26/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z