Feb 26, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 26 05:42:59 UTC 2022 (20220226 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220226 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220226 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220226 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220226 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220226 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 260542

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1142 PM CST Fri Feb 25 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast across the continental United States
   on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Expansive high pressure and a dry, continental-polar airmass will
   limit thunderstorm potential across the CONUS on Saturday and
   Saturday Night. Weak elevated instability may permit an isolated
   lightning flash or two across southern Arkansas/northern Louisiana,
   but the weak instability and only marginally cold equilibrium levels
   should preclude any greater threat.

   Isolated thunderstorm activity may occur off the Oregon/Washington
   Coast as a mid-level trough moves through the region and
   temperatures cool aloft. However, the greatest thunderstorm threat
   is expected to remain offshore.

   ..Bentley/Weinman.. 02/26/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z