Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 261613
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CST Sat Feb 26 2022
Valid 261630Z - 271200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible overnight across southern
Arkansas and northern Louisiana.
...Synopsis...
Surface high pressure will remain entrenched across the central
CONUS today, mitigating the potential for deep convection.
Thunderstorm chances will gradually increase late this evening and
into the overnight hours across southern AR and northern LA as lift
increases in the right-entrance region of an upper-level jet and
within a weak mid-level warm advection regime. Forecast soundings
suggest sufficient instability rooted near 600 mb and EL
temperatures near -20 C will support the potential for a handful of
lightning strikes over the region.
..Thompson/Moore.. 02/26/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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