Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 271255
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0655 AM CST Sun Feb 27 2022
Valid 271300Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms is negligible across the U.S. today and
tonight.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
Deep convective potential will remain limited across the CONUS today
owing to the prevalence of dry/stable conditions and continental
trajectories. In the Northeast, shallow surface-based convection is
expected to develop this afternoon. Thermal profiles entirely below
0C and the shallow nature of the convection should preclude
thunderstorm potential. In the West, thermodynamic profiles
associated with shallow convection across the Pacific Northwest
should remain quite marginal, with any thunderstorm potential
expected to remain limited and below 10 percent probability.
..Guyer/Leitman.. 02/27/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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