Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 271614
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CST Sun Feb 27 2022
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms is negligible across the U.S. today and
tonight.
...Synopsis...
An expansive surface high will remain entrenched across the central
CONUS today, limiting the potential for deep convection for most of
the country. A weak cold front continues to push east/southeastward
across the southeastern U.S., and will eventually move offshore
later today. This may support a few offshore thunderstorms late this
evening off the FL/GA/SC coast. Across the Pacific Northwest,
onshore flow will continue to bring scattered precipitation to
western OR/WA, but both observed and forecast thermodynamic profiles
appear too marginal to support much lightning potential.
..Thompson/Moore.. 02/27/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z