Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 280038
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0638 PM CST Sun Feb 27 2022
Valid 280100Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
...01z Update...
Aside from some very weak buoyancy across the southern FL Peninsula,
which is resulting in scattered low-topped lightning-free showers,
most of the US is cool and stable this evening. Prospect for
thunderstorms is low tonight.
..Darrow.. 02/28/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z