Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 281258
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 AM CST Mon Feb 28 2022
Valid 281300Z - 011200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are expected across parts of northeast Florida
and southeast Georgia today.
...Northern Florida/southeast Georgia...
A southern-stream shortwave trough will continue east-southeastward
over Florida and southern Georgia today, while a cold front will sag
southward across the Florida Peninsula. Even to the north of the
southward-advancing front with a drying boundary layer, cool
mid-level temperatures and modest elevated buoyancy may be
sufficient for isolated elevated thunderstorms across northeast
Florida and possibly far southeast Georgia. Any such
lightning-producing convection should shift offshore early this
evening.
..Guyer/Leitman.. 02/28/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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