Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 010517
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 PM CST Mon Feb 28 2022
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms appear unlikely on Tuesday across the Lower 48 states.
...Discussion...
Upper ridge over the western US will gradually shift east during the
day1 period as troughing dominates the eastern portions of the
country. Most of the lower 48 states will experience cool/stable
conditions, unfavorable for deep convection capable of generating
lightning. However, very weak buoyancy will develop across extreme
northwest WA into coastal BC late in the period ahead of a
late-approaching short-wave trough. Forecast soundings suggest any
convection that develops ahead of this feature will prove too
shallow to warrant any meaningful threat of thunderstorms.
..Darrow/Weinman.. 03/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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