Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 011239
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 011300Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely today or tonight across the U.S.
...Synopsis/Discussion...
A continued prevalence of high pressure from the West to the
Southeast and related dry/stable conditions and continental
trajectories will continue to minimize thunderstorm potential across
the CONUS. One minor exception may be near coastal Washington late
this afternoon into tonight as a shortwave trough nears British
Columbia/northwest Washington. Even so, thermodynamic profiles are
likely to remain too marginal for a meaningful (10+ percent) risk of
thunderstorms, although a lightning flash or two cannot be
conclusively ruled out near the northwest Washington coast.
..Guyer/Leitman.. 03/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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