Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 011608
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1008 AM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 011630Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely today or tonight across the U.S.
...Synopsis...
Persistent surface high pressure and dry/cool conditions across the
CONUS will continue to limit the potential for thunderstorms today.
An atmospheric river will continue to flow into the Pacific
Northwest ahead of an upper-level trough, which may support
sufficient lift for modestly deep convection. Observed and forecast
soundings suggest sufficient instability may be in place this
afternoon for a lightning strike or two as temperatures warm into
the upper 50s and low 60s. This is most likely across central to
western WA, but the overall thunderstorm potential remains too
limited (below 10% probability) to delineate an area.
..Thompson/Moore.. 03/01/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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