Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020027
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CST Tue Mar 01 2022
Valid 020100Z - 021200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely tonight across the U.S.
...01z Update...
Dry and stable conditions are noted across most of the lower 48
states this evening, precluding deep convection capable of
generating lightning. One notable exception is across the Pacific
Northwest where weak buoyancy has developed ahead of approaching
short-wave trough. 00z sounding from UIL exhibited around 150 J/kg
MUCAPE if lifting a parcel around 1km AGL. Even so, elevated
instability does not appear adequate for updrafts to penetrate
levels necessary for the production of lightning.
..Darrow.. 03/02/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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